midweek

[rolltide]

90-8-70 +16.56 (stake 218.36)

United vs City
- i'll take a bit on the boys in Old Trafford where only Spurs have beaten them since Dec '11 in the league...22-1-1. I like the lineup with Welbeck, RVP, and Rooney up front and I expect United to play as if this is the last meaningful match of the year which it basically is. Obviously City want to win it but they've not been convincing away at all with losses to Soton and Everton, a draw at QPR, and a narrow 1-0 win in Villa. Massive revenge game getting City at home for first time in league since the 6-1 defeat

United pk 1.5u to win 1.2u

 

[cocktailsnlongshots+]

I don't cheer against another mans wager...but u won the league...can't say I didn't have a sly grin when the final whistle blew...to think if we only played like this all year...que sera, sera

 

[rolltide]

rough month for united...went from 3 trophies to 1...lost two goal lead in FA Cup then outplayed in replay...beaten by ronaldo and now by aguero.

Haiti u17 vs Guatemala u17
-a bit of a leap of faith here as Guatemala have yet to play a group match so are an unknown quantity but their national teams haven't improved in the past 10 years so I think that will be the case with the youth squad thus making Haiti big favorites. Haiti really have only one option and that is to win the match so they will go all out tonight. I was really impressed with Haiti despite the 0-3 scoreline vs USA. For most of the match they were actually the superior side but a bad penalty conceded followed by a couple late goals brought about the terrible scoreline. Haiti had three great chances out of their attackers, Derival and Desire, to open the scoring before the 26th minute penalty and these guys will be a handful tonight. also lean to over as Haiti have weakness in the back and guatemala defenses are always poor, at every level.

Haiti u-17 -0.25 1u to win .96u

 

[rolltide]

copa lib 8:30

Tolima vs Santa Fe
- Tolima have seen at least 2 goals in 10 straight games and in 16 of last 17. Santa Fe always score away and in h2h last 4 matches produced 11 goals and 20 of 22 meetings have seen at least 2 goals

Tolima/ISF over 2 goals 1u to win .75u

 

[rolltide]

6:45 copa lib

Real Garcilaso vs Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno have shown up to Cusco with a mixture of kids and old guys...not exactly what you want when playing in extreme altitude. The striking pair are 31 and 35 years old and they're joined by 30 year old Torres in defense. The rest of the team are all 22 or younger except keeper Gavilan (23) who will be playing his first match of the year. While all of their losses in the cup have been by 1 goal the reason I think a 2+ defeat is in store is the 3500m altitude of Cusco. Garcilaso great home team and even in that 0-3 defeat to Tolima they put 25 shots at the Colombians. They last played on Friday so are well rested and should have too much for the Paraguayans.

Real Garcilaso -1.25 1.5u to win 1.09u

 

[rolltide]

Rubin vs Chelsea
- tossing a little change on Rubin to advance...need a 2-0 score here. Chelsea resting their best players (Mata, Oscar, Hazard) and Ba is cup tied so will take my chances that Rondon will take them out. Terry starting for first time in a really long time and Ferreira is their 3rd choice left back and he's starting because regulars are hurt.

Rubin to advance .25u to win 1.5u

 

[rolltide]

great goal by torres...really nice. that'll do it for that .25u as rubin aren't scoring 3 or 4 in 2H

 

[rolltide]

got greedy with Rubin...would have won on pk line

Eng conf 2:45pm

Dartford vs Braintree Town
- neither team has anything to play for but going to play against Braintree who are making their 3rd trip since Saturday. They had long trip to Hyde Saturday followed by another long trip to Wales for Tuesday match vs Newport County and now another trip to Dartford making it 3 different road games in 6 days. Go back a bit further and this is match #6 in 12 days...crazy! Dartford also played Sat and Tue but last match was at home so should be fine and this is only their 3rd match since Apr 1 so far lighter schedule. Only the top 2 teams in the league have more home wins than Dartford's 12 and their +16 goal diff at home is best outside of the top 5. Real tough spot for Braintree Town so playing against them...

Dartford .64u to win 1u

 

[rolltide]

Copa Lib 8:30

U de Chile at Lara
- U de Chile need 3 points with a huge win plus a big Olimpia win for any chance so they're basically out of it and resting more than half their starters. Lara have had a strange season...really struggling to defend but playing great offensive football. They're sending regulars out there for last home cup match so expecting some fireworks and goals. Small bet on Lara home win with larger on over 2.5

Dvo Lara .5u to win 1.10u
Lara/UdeC over 2.5 1.5u to win 1.2u

 

[rolltide]

-1.50 United 1-2
-1.00 Haiti 1-3
+0.75 Tolima 1-2
+1.09 Garcilaso 5-1
-0.50 Rubin 3-2
-0.64 Dartford 0-0
+0.70 Lara 2-3

93-8-75 +15.46 (stake 226.25)